Perspectivas de desarrollo de las zonas rurales de Rumanía basadas en la media móvil autorregresiva (ARMA)
Publicado
jul 19, 2023
Almetrics
Dimensions
Google Scholar
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##
Resumen
El campo se considera como el preservador de las tradiciones y costumbres locales y tiene una especial importancia cultural que no puede cuantificarse ni apreciarse en su justo valor. Además de este aspecto, contribuye a la seguridad alimentaria y mitiga los efectos del cambio climático. Quizá el componente más importante del campo sea la población rural, que tiende a disminuir como consecuencia del creciente proceso de urbanización, lo que podría crear importantes desequilibrios tanto en términos de seguridad alimentaria como de medio ambiente. Rumanía sigue teniendo una elevada proporción de población rural (45,6 %) y se enfrenta a grandes dificultades para retenerla, debido a la falta de empleo, las deficientes infraestructuras y el alto grado de envejecimiento de la población. El artículo pretende identificar las perspectivas de desarrollo rural en el periodo 2021-2027, que es el tercer periodo de programación en el que participa Rumanía. También pretende desarrollar un modelo econométrico para explicar en qué medida la población rural se ve influida por distintas variables, teniendo en cuenta el equilibrio que debe existir entre las zonas urbanas y rurales. Para esto, se utilizó el método de regresión lineal y el modelo de previsión ARMA (Auto-regressive Moving Average). La estimación del modelo determinado en este estudio no puede representar valores exactos de lo que ocurrirá en el año 2027, sino que permite comprender las perspectivas y direcciones en las que se proyectan las variables analizadas, con el fin de establecer medidas adecuadas para mitigar o limitar los daños. Según la tendencia del análisis resultante, el declive demográfico continuará durante el periodo previsto, a menos de que se tomen algunas medidas para revitalizar las zonas rurales.
Keywords
zonas rurales, campo, población rural, ARMA, RumaniaRural Areas, Countryside, Rural Population, ARMA, Romania
References
Ardakani, Z., Bartolini, F., & Brunori, G. (2020). New Evaluation of Small Farms: Implication for an Analysis of Food Security. Agriculture 2020, 10(74). https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture10030074
Argatu, R., & Razvanta, F. (2022). Sustainable societal development perspectives for rural Romania in light of Horizon 2020. Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, 16(1), 2495-508. https://doi.org/10.2478/picbe-2022-0048
Barreto Riaño, H., Escobar, J. W., Linfati, R., & Ortiz-Araya, V. (2022). Disciplinary Categorization of the Cattle Supply Chain-A Review and Bibliometric Analysis. Sustainability 2022, 14(21), 14275. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142114275
Batur, F., Bocci, R., & Bartha, B. (2021). Marketing Farmers’ Varieties in Europe: Encouraging Pathways with Missing Links for the Recognition and Support of Farmer Seed Systems. Agronomy 2021, 11(11), 2159. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11112159
Bogdanov, N., Meredith, D., & Efstratoglou, S. (2008). A typology of rural areas in Serbia. Ekonomski anali 2008, 53(177), 7-29.
Bran, F., Ciobanu, G., Popescu, M. L., & Vasilache, P. C. (2020). Sustainable Local Development in Romania in the Opportunity of Creating Jobs. Eur. J. Sustain. Dev., 9(3), 287. https://doi.org/10.14207/ejsd.2020.v9n3p287
Cebotari, S., Cristea, M., Moldovan, C., & Zubascu, F. (2017). Renewable energy’s impact on rural development in northwestern Romania. Energy Sustain. Dev., 37, 110-123. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2017.02.002
Ciutacu, C., Chivu, L., & Andrei, J. V. (2015). Similarities and dissimilarities between the EU agricultural and rural development model and Romanian agriculture. Challenges and perspectives. Land Use Policy, 44, 169-176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.08.009
Comanescu, I. S., Foris, D., & Floris, T. (2019). Dimensions of the Funding Programmes for Sustainable Rural Development in Romania. Econ. Sci. Rural Dev., 50, 44-51.
Constantin, M., Sacală, M.-D., Dinu, M., Piștalu, M., Pătărlăgeanu, S. R., & Munteanu, I.-D. (2022). Vegetable Trade Flows and Chain Competitiveness Linkage Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Econometric Modelling and Porter’s Diamond Model. Agronomy, 12(2), 411. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy12020411
Costantino, C., Mantini, N., Benedetti, A. C., Bartolomei, C., & Predari, G. (2022). Digital and Territorial Trails System for De-veloping Sustainable Tourism and Enhancing Cultural Heritage in Rural Areas: The Case of San Giovanni Lipioni, Italy. Sustainability 2022, 14(21), 13982. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113982
Csizmady, A., Csurgó, B., Kerényi, S., Balázs, A., Kocsis, V., & Palaczki, B. (2021). Young Farmers’ Perceptions of Sustainability in a Wine Region in Hungary. Land, 10(8), 815. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10080815
Dax, T., & Fischer, M. (2018). An alternative policy approach to rural development in regions facing population decline. European Planning Studies, 26(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2017.1361596
Dicka, J. N., Gessert, A., & Snincak, I. (2019). Rural and non-rural municipalities in the Slovak Republic. Journal of Maps, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/17445647.2019.1615010
Dinu, M., Patarlageanu, S. R., Chiripuci, B., & Constantin, M. (2020). Accessing European funds for agriculture and rural devel-opment in Romania for the 2014-2020 period. In Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Business Excellence (ICBE)-Business Revolution in the Digital Era, (pp. 717-727). Sciendo. http://doi.org/10.2478/picbe-2020-0068
Dumitru, E. A., Micu, M. M., & Sterie, C. M. (2023). The key to the development of agricultural cooperatives in Romania from the perspective of those who run them. Outlook on Agriculture, 52(1), 89-100. https://doi.org/10.1177/00307270221138118
Dumitru, E. A., Ursu, A., Tudor, V. C., & Micu, M. M. (2021). Sustainable Development of the Rural Areas from Romania: Devel-opment of a Digital Tool to Generate Adapted Solutions at Local Level. Sustainability, 13(21), 11921. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132111921
Fayet, M. J. C., Reilly, K. H., Ham, V. C., & Verburg, P. H. (2022). The potential of European abandoned agricultural lands to contribute to the Green Deal objectives: Policy perspectives. Environmental Science & Policy, 133, 44-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.007
Gašić, M., Perić, G., & Dramićanin, S. (2022). Rural areas and rural development policy of the Republic of Serbia. Management and Education, 18(2).
Giannakis, E. (2014). The role of rural tourism on the development of rural areas: The case of Cyprus. Romanian Journal of Regional Science, 8(1), 38-53.
Glatz, C., & Bodi-Fernandez, O. (2020). Individual social capital and subjective well-being in urban- and rural Austrian areas. Österreich Z Soziol, 45, 139-163. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11614-020-00399-9
Guarín, A., Rivera, M., Pinto-Correia, T., Guimar, N., Sumane, S., & Moreno-Pérez, O. M. (2020). A new typology of small farms in Europe. Glob. Food Secur., 26, 100389. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100389
Hall, S. A., Kaufman, J. S., & Ricketts, T. C. (2006). Defining urban and rural areas in US epidemiologic studies. Journal of Urban Health, 83(2), 162-175.
Harbiankova, A., & Gertsberg, L. (2022). Information Model for Sustainable Rural Development. Energies, 15(11), 4009. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15114009
Ho, A. D., & Yo, C. C. (2015). Descriptive statistics for modern test score distributions: Skewness, kurtosis, discreteness, and ceiling effects. Educational and psychological measurement, 75(3), 365-388. https://doi.org/10.1177/0013164414548576
Holland, J., Burian, M., & Dixey, L. (2003). Tourism in poor rural areas: Diversifying the product and expanding the benefits in rural Uganda and the Czech Republic. Pro-Poor Tourism Partnership, PPT Working Paper, (12). https://lib.icimod.org/record/11291
Iancu, T., Petre, I. L., Tudor, V. C., Micu, M. M., Ursu, A., Teodorescu, F.-R., & Dumitru, E. A. (2022). A Difficult Pattern to Change in Romania, the Perspective of Socio-Economic Development. Sustainability, 14(4), 2350. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14042350
Iancu, T., Tudor, V. C., Dumitru, E. A., Sterie, C. M., Micu, M. M., Smedescu, D., Marcuta, L., Tonea, E., Stoicea, P., Vintu, C., Jitareanu, A. F., & Costuleanu, L. C. (2022). A Scientometric Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Studies. Sustainability, 14(19), 12945. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141912945
Ibanescu, B.-C., Eva, M., & Gheorghiu, A. (2022). Questioning the Role of Tourism as an Engine for Resilience: The Role of Acces-sibility and Economic Performance. Sustainability, 12(14), 5527. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12145527
Ivanovic, O. D. M., Golušin, M. T., Dodi’c, S. N., & Dodi’c, J. M. (2009). Perspectives of sustainable development in countries of Southeastern Europe. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., 13, 2079-2087.
Jasiński, J., Kozakiewicz, M., & Sołtysik, M. (2021). The Effectiveness of Energy Cooperatives Operating on the Capacity Market. Energies, 14(11), 3226. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14113226
Kim, S., & Lee, J. W. (2008). Demographic changes, saving, and current account: An analysis based on a panel VAR model. Japan and the World Economy, 20(20), 236-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2006.11.005
Kudo, S., Mutisya, E., & Nagao, M. (2015). Population Aging: An Emerging Research Agenda for Sustainable Development. Soc. Sci., .(4), 940-966. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci4040940
Lile, R., Boghicevici, C., & Stoian, C. D. (2018). Role of social professions in the process of sustainable development of rural area. Study case. Jurid. Trib. Trib. Jurid., 8(2), 415-424.
Liu, F. H., & Liang, M. (2021). New urbanization, human capital and industrial structure up-grading: Based on the moderating effect of population aging. Journal of Social Science of Hunan Normal University, 50, 46-55.
Liu, J., Jin, X., Xu, W., & Zhou, Y. (2022). Evolution of cultivated land fragmentation and its driving mechanism in rural devel-opment: A case study of Jiangsu Province. Journal of Rural Studies, 91, 58-72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.02.011
Mack, G., Fintineru, G., & Kohler, A. (2018). Do Rural Development Measures Improve Vitality of Rural Areas in Romania? AgroLife Sci. J., 7(2), 82-98. https://agrolifejournal.usamv.ro/index.php/agrolife/article/view/231
Mihai, C., Ulman, S. R., & David, M. (2019). New Assessment of Development Status among the People Living in Rural Areas: An Alternative Approach for Rural Vitality. Sci. Ann. Econ. Bus., 66(2), 167-192.
Mitrică, B., Serban, P., & Mocanu, I. (2020). Social Development and Regional Disparities in the Rural Areas of Romania: Focus on the Social Disadvantaged Areas. Soc. Indic Res., 152(1), 67-89.
National Institute of Statistics of Romania. (2022). https://insse.ro/cms/en
Nazzaro, C., Uliano, A., & Marotta, G. (2021). Drivers and Barriers towards Social Farming: A Systematic Review. Sustainability, 13(24), 14008. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132414008
Nordbeck, R., Clar, C., Fuchs, S., Löschner, L., Papathoma-Köhle, M., Thaler, T., & Fischer, T. (2020). The relevance of demographic change for Austrian flood risk management. Österreichische Wasser- und Abfallwirtschaft, 72(5-6), 245-251. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00506-020-00659-8
Novotna, M., Preis, J., Kopp, J., & Bartos, M. (2013). Changes in migration to rural regions in the Czech Republic: position and perspectives. Moravian Geo-graphical reports (21), 3. https://doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2013-0015
Pavel, A., Moldovan, B. A., Kourtit, K., & Nijkamp, P. (2020). Urban or Rural: Does It Make a Difference for Economic Resilience? A Modelling Study on Economic and Cultural Geography in Romania. Sustainability, 12(9), 3776. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093776
Podolak, P. (2005). Demographic Changes OT Rural Population in Slovakia. Rural Areas and Development, 3, 1-14. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3717553
Popescu, A., Dinu, T. A., & Stoian, E. (2018). Demographic and Economic Changes Characterizing the Rural Population in Romania. Sci. Pap. Ser. Manag. Econ. Eng. Agric. Rural Dev., 18(2), 333-346.
Popovici, E. A., Mitrica, B., & Mocanu, I. (2018). Land concentration and land grabbing: Implications for the socio-economic de-velopment of rural communities in south-eastern Romania. Outlook Agric., 47(3), 204-213. https://doi.org/10.1177/0030727018781138
Prusaczyk, A., Karczmarz, S., Bogdan, M., Żuk, P., & Oberska, J. (2022). Family medicine in rural areas - perspectives and development opportunities. Journal of Education, Health and Sport, 12(11), 58-62. https://doi.org/10.12775/JEHS.2022.12.11.008
Raicov, M., Banes, A., Brad, I., & Feher, A. (2021). Absorption of Rural Development Funds. A Lesson Learned? Sci. Pap. Ser. Manag. Econ. Eng. Agric. Rural Dev., 21, 505-512.
Šimková, E. (2007). Strategic ap-proaches to rural tourism and sus-tainable development of rural areas. Agricultural Economics, 53(6), 263-270.
Slámová, M., & Belčáková, I. (2019). The Role of Small Farm Activities for the Sustainable Management of Agricultural Landscapes: Case Studies from Europe. Sustainability, 11(21), 5966. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11215966
Špulerová, J., Petrovič, F., Mederly, P., Mojses, M., & Izakovičová, Z. (2018). Contribution of Traditional Farming to Ecosystem Services Provision: Case Studies from Slovakia. Land, 7(2), 74. https://doi.org/10.3390/land7020074
Sterie, M. S., & Dumitru E. A. (2021). Comparative analysis on accessing european funds through the two National Rural Devel-opment Programs in the South-Muntenia Region, Romania. Sci. Pap. Ser. Manag. Econ. Eng. Agric. Rural Dev., 21(1), 729-734.
Tudor, V. C., Dinu, T. A., Vladu, M., Smedescu, D., Vlad, I. M., Dumitru, E. A., Sterie, C. M., & Costuleanu, C. L. (2022). Labour Im-plications on Agricultural Production in Romania. Sustainability, 14(14), 8549. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14148549
Vladu, M., Panzaru, R. L., Savescu, P., & Matei, G. (2018). Studies on the Situation of Investments Made with Public Funds under 123 Measure “Increasing the Added Value of Agricultural and Forestry Products” of the National Rural Development Pro-gram, in the South-West Oltenia Development Region in Romania. Rom. Agric. Res., 35, 275281.
Vobecká, J., & Piguet, V. (2012). Fertility, Natural Growth, and Migration in the Czech Republic: An Urban–Suburban–Rural Gradient Analysis of Long-Term Trends and Recent Reversals. Population, Space and Place, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.698
Zang, L., Wang, Y., Ke, J., & Su, Y. (2022). What Drives Smallholders to Utilize Socialized Agricultural Services for Farmland Scale Management? Insights from the Perspective of Collective Action. Land, 11(6), 930. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11060930
Zhang, D., Yu, L., & Wang, W. (2022). Promoting Effect of Whole-Region Comprehensive Land Consolidation on Rural Revitali-zation from the Perspective of Farm Households: A China Study. Land, 11(10), 1854. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11101854
Zhao, X., & Liu, L. (2022). The Impact of Urbanization Level on Urban–Rural Income Gap in China Based on Spatial Econometric Model. Sustainability, 14(21), 13795. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113795
Argatu, R., & Razvanta, F. (2022). Sustainable societal development perspectives for rural Romania in light of Horizon 2020. Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, 16(1), 2495-508. https://doi.org/10.2478/picbe-2022-0048
Barreto Riaño, H., Escobar, J. W., Linfati, R., & Ortiz-Araya, V. (2022). Disciplinary Categorization of the Cattle Supply Chain-A Review and Bibliometric Analysis. Sustainability 2022, 14(21), 14275. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142114275
Batur, F., Bocci, R., & Bartha, B. (2021). Marketing Farmers’ Varieties in Europe: Encouraging Pathways with Missing Links for the Recognition and Support of Farmer Seed Systems. Agronomy 2021, 11(11), 2159. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11112159
Bogdanov, N., Meredith, D., & Efstratoglou, S. (2008). A typology of rural areas in Serbia. Ekonomski anali 2008, 53(177), 7-29.
Bran, F., Ciobanu, G., Popescu, M. L., & Vasilache, P. C. (2020). Sustainable Local Development in Romania in the Opportunity of Creating Jobs. Eur. J. Sustain. Dev., 9(3), 287. https://doi.org/10.14207/ejsd.2020.v9n3p287
Cebotari, S., Cristea, M., Moldovan, C., & Zubascu, F. (2017). Renewable energy’s impact on rural development in northwestern Romania. Energy Sustain. Dev., 37, 110-123. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2017.02.002
Ciutacu, C., Chivu, L., & Andrei, J. V. (2015). Similarities and dissimilarities between the EU agricultural and rural development model and Romanian agriculture. Challenges and perspectives. Land Use Policy, 44, 169-176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.08.009
Comanescu, I. S., Foris, D., & Floris, T. (2019). Dimensions of the Funding Programmes for Sustainable Rural Development in Romania. Econ. Sci. Rural Dev., 50, 44-51.
Constantin, M., Sacală, M.-D., Dinu, M., Piștalu, M., Pătărlăgeanu, S. R., & Munteanu, I.-D. (2022). Vegetable Trade Flows and Chain Competitiveness Linkage Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Econometric Modelling and Porter’s Diamond Model. Agronomy, 12(2), 411. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy12020411
Costantino, C., Mantini, N., Benedetti, A. C., Bartolomei, C., & Predari, G. (2022). Digital and Territorial Trails System for De-veloping Sustainable Tourism and Enhancing Cultural Heritage in Rural Areas: The Case of San Giovanni Lipioni, Italy. Sustainability 2022, 14(21), 13982. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113982
Csizmady, A., Csurgó, B., Kerényi, S., Balázs, A., Kocsis, V., & Palaczki, B. (2021). Young Farmers’ Perceptions of Sustainability in a Wine Region in Hungary. Land, 10(8), 815. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10080815
Dax, T., & Fischer, M. (2018). An alternative policy approach to rural development in regions facing population decline. European Planning Studies, 26(2). https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2017.1361596
Dicka, J. N., Gessert, A., & Snincak, I. (2019). Rural and non-rural municipalities in the Slovak Republic. Journal of Maps, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/17445647.2019.1615010
Dinu, M., Patarlageanu, S. R., Chiripuci, B., & Constantin, M. (2020). Accessing European funds for agriculture and rural devel-opment in Romania for the 2014-2020 period. In Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Business Excellence (ICBE)-Business Revolution in the Digital Era, (pp. 717-727). Sciendo. http://doi.org/10.2478/picbe-2020-0068
Dumitru, E. A., Micu, M. M., & Sterie, C. M. (2023). The key to the development of agricultural cooperatives in Romania from the perspective of those who run them. Outlook on Agriculture, 52(1), 89-100. https://doi.org/10.1177/00307270221138118
Dumitru, E. A., Ursu, A., Tudor, V. C., & Micu, M. M. (2021). Sustainable Development of the Rural Areas from Romania: Devel-opment of a Digital Tool to Generate Adapted Solutions at Local Level. Sustainability, 13(21), 11921. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132111921
Fayet, M. J. C., Reilly, K. H., Ham, V. C., & Verburg, P. H. (2022). The potential of European abandoned agricultural lands to contribute to the Green Deal objectives: Policy perspectives. Environmental Science & Policy, 133, 44-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.007
Gašić, M., Perić, G., & Dramićanin, S. (2022). Rural areas and rural development policy of the Republic of Serbia. Management and Education, 18(2).
Giannakis, E. (2014). The role of rural tourism on the development of rural areas: The case of Cyprus. Romanian Journal of Regional Science, 8(1), 38-53.
Glatz, C., & Bodi-Fernandez, O. (2020). Individual social capital and subjective well-being in urban- and rural Austrian areas. Österreich Z Soziol, 45, 139-163. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11614-020-00399-9
Guarín, A., Rivera, M., Pinto-Correia, T., Guimar, N., Sumane, S., & Moreno-Pérez, O. M. (2020). A new typology of small farms in Europe. Glob. Food Secur., 26, 100389. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100389
Hall, S. A., Kaufman, J. S., & Ricketts, T. C. (2006). Defining urban and rural areas in US epidemiologic studies. Journal of Urban Health, 83(2), 162-175.
Harbiankova, A., & Gertsberg, L. (2022). Information Model for Sustainable Rural Development. Energies, 15(11), 4009. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15114009
Ho, A. D., & Yo, C. C. (2015). Descriptive statistics for modern test score distributions: Skewness, kurtosis, discreteness, and ceiling effects. Educational and psychological measurement, 75(3), 365-388. https://doi.org/10.1177/0013164414548576
Holland, J., Burian, M., & Dixey, L. (2003). Tourism in poor rural areas: Diversifying the product and expanding the benefits in rural Uganda and the Czech Republic. Pro-Poor Tourism Partnership, PPT Working Paper, (12). https://lib.icimod.org/record/11291
Iancu, T., Petre, I. L., Tudor, V. C., Micu, M. M., Ursu, A., Teodorescu, F.-R., & Dumitru, E. A. (2022). A Difficult Pattern to Change in Romania, the Perspective of Socio-Economic Development. Sustainability, 14(4), 2350. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14042350
Iancu, T., Tudor, V. C., Dumitru, E. A., Sterie, C. M., Micu, M. M., Smedescu, D., Marcuta, L., Tonea, E., Stoicea, P., Vintu, C., Jitareanu, A. F., & Costuleanu, L. C. (2022). A Scientometric Analysis of Climate Change Adaptation Studies. Sustainability, 14(19), 12945. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141912945
Ibanescu, B.-C., Eva, M., & Gheorghiu, A. (2022). Questioning the Role of Tourism as an Engine for Resilience: The Role of Acces-sibility and Economic Performance. Sustainability, 12(14), 5527. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12145527
Ivanovic, O. D. M., Golušin, M. T., Dodi’c, S. N., & Dodi’c, J. M. (2009). Perspectives of sustainable development in countries of Southeastern Europe. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., 13, 2079-2087.
Jasiński, J., Kozakiewicz, M., & Sołtysik, M. (2021). The Effectiveness of Energy Cooperatives Operating on the Capacity Market. Energies, 14(11), 3226. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14113226
Kim, S., & Lee, J. W. (2008). Demographic changes, saving, and current account: An analysis based on a panel VAR model. Japan and the World Economy, 20(20), 236-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2006.11.005
Kudo, S., Mutisya, E., & Nagao, M. (2015). Population Aging: An Emerging Research Agenda for Sustainable Development. Soc. Sci., .(4), 940-966. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci4040940
Lile, R., Boghicevici, C., & Stoian, C. D. (2018). Role of social professions in the process of sustainable development of rural area. Study case. Jurid. Trib. Trib. Jurid., 8(2), 415-424.
Liu, F. H., & Liang, M. (2021). New urbanization, human capital and industrial structure up-grading: Based on the moderating effect of population aging. Journal of Social Science of Hunan Normal University, 50, 46-55.
Liu, J., Jin, X., Xu, W., & Zhou, Y. (2022). Evolution of cultivated land fragmentation and its driving mechanism in rural devel-opment: A case study of Jiangsu Province. Journal of Rural Studies, 91, 58-72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2022.02.011
Mack, G., Fintineru, G., & Kohler, A. (2018). Do Rural Development Measures Improve Vitality of Rural Areas in Romania? AgroLife Sci. J., 7(2), 82-98. https://agrolifejournal.usamv.ro/index.php/agrolife/article/view/231
Mihai, C., Ulman, S. R., & David, M. (2019). New Assessment of Development Status among the People Living in Rural Areas: An Alternative Approach for Rural Vitality. Sci. Ann. Econ. Bus., 66(2), 167-192.
Mitrică, B., Serban, P., & Mocanu, I. (2020). Social Development and Regional Disparities in the Rural Areas of Romania: Focus on the Social Disadvantaged Areas. Soc. Indic Res., 152(1), 67-89.
National Institute of Statistics of Romania. (2022). https://insse.ro/cms/en
Nazzaro, C., Uliano, A., & Marotta, G. (2021). Drivers and Barriers towards Social Farming: A Systematic Review. Sustainability, 13(24), 14008. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132414008
Nordbeck, R., Clar, C., Fuchs, S., Löschner, L., Papathoma-Köhle, M., Thaler, T., & Fischer, T. (2020). The relevance of demographic change for Austrian flood risk management. Österreichische Wasser- und Abfallwirtschaft, 72(5-6), 245-251. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00506-020-00659-8
Novotna, M., Preis, J., Kopp, J., & Bartos, M. (2013). Changes in migration to rural regions in the Czech Republic: position and perspectives. Moravian Geo-graphical reports (21), 3. https://doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2013-0015
Pavel, A., Moldovan, B. A., Kourtit, K., & Nijkamp, P. (2020). Urban or Rural: Does It Make a Difference for Economic Resilience? A Modelling Study on Economic and Cultural Geography in Romania. Sustainability, 12(9), 3776. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093776
Podolak, P. (2005). Demographic Changes OT Rural Population in Slovakia. Rural Areas and Development, 3, 1-14. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3717553
Popescu, A., Dinu, T. A., & Stoian, E. (2018). Demographic and Economic Changes Characterizing the Rural Population in Romania. Sci. Pap. Ser. Manag. Econ. Eng. Agric. Rural Dev., 18(2), 333-346.
Popovici, E. A., Mitrica, B., & Mocanu, I. (2018). Land concentration and land grabbing: Implications for the socio-economic de-velopment of rural communities in south-eastern Romania. Outlook Agric., 47(3), 204-213. https://doi.org/10.1177/0030727018781138
Prusaczyk, A., Karczmarz, S., Bogdan, M., Żuk, P., & Oberska, J. (2022). Family medicine in rural areas - perspectives and development opportunities. Journal of Education, Health and Sport, 12(11), 58-62. https://doi.org/10.12775/JEHS.2022.12.11.008
Raicov, M., Banes, A., Brad, I., & Feher, A. (2021). Absorption of Rural Development Funds. A Lesson Learned? Sci. Pap. Ser. Manag. Econ. Eng. Agric. Rural Dev., 21, 505-512.
Šimková, E. (2007). Strategic ap-proaches to rural tourism and sus-tainable development of rural areas. Agricultural Economics, 53(6), 263-270.
Slámová, M., & Belčáková, I. (2019). The Role of Small Farm Activities for the Sustainable Management of Agricultural Landscapes: Case Studies from Europe. Sustainability, 11(21), 5966. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11215966
Špulerová, J., Petrovič, F., Mederly, P., Mojses, M., & Izakovičová, Z. (2018). Contribution of Traditional Farming to Ecosystem Services Provision: Case Studies from Slovakia. Land, 7(2), 74. https://doi.org/10.3390/land7020074
Sterie, M. S., & Dumitru E. A. (2021). Comparative analysis on accessing european funds through the two National Rural Devel-opment Programs in the South-Muntenia Region, Romania. Sci. Pap. Ser. Manag. Econ. Eng. Agric. Rural Dev., 21(1), 729-734.
Tudor, V. C., Dinu, T. A., Vladu, M., Smedescu, D., Vlad, I. M., Dumitru, E. A., Sterie, C. M., & Costuleanu, C. L. (2022). Labour Im-plications on Agricultural Production in Romania. Sustainability, 14(14), 8549. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14148549
Vladu, M., Panzaru, R. L., Savescu, P., & Matei, G. (2018). Studies on the Situation of Investments Made with Public Funds under 123 Measure “Increasing the Added Value of Agricultural and Forestry Products” of the National Rural Development Pro-gram, in the South-West Oltenia Development Region in Romania. Rom. Agric. Res., 35, 275281.
Vobecká, J., & Piguet, V. (2012). Fertility, Natural Growth, and Migration in the Czech Republic: An Urban–Suburban–Rural Gradient Analysis of Long-Term Trends and Recent Reversals. Population, Space and Place, 18(3). https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.698
Zang, L., Wang, Y., Ke, J., & Su, Y. (2022). What Drives Smallholders to Utilize Socialized Agricultural Services for Farmland Scale Management? Insights from the Perspective of Collective Action. Land, 11(6), 930. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11060930
Zhang, D., Yu, L., & Wang, W. (2022). Promoting Effect of Whole-Region Comprehensive Land Consolidation on Rural Revitali-zation from the Perspective of Farm Households: A China Study. Land, 11(10), 1854. https://doi.org/10.3390/land11101854
Zhao, X., & Liu, L. (2022). The Impact of Urbanization Level on Urban–Rural Income Gap in China Based on Spatial Econometric Model. Sustainability, 14(21), 13795. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142113795
Cómo citar
Dumitru, E. A., Sterie, C., & Sima, A. E. (2023). Perspectivas de desarrollo de las zonas rurales de Rumanía basadas en la media móvil autorregresiva (ARMA). Cuadernos De Desarrollo Rural, 20. https://doi.org/10.11144/Javeriana.cdr20.dpra
Sección
Artículos Investigación
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución 4.0.